Tories face election woe in 'Sea Wall' seats with party down 19 POINTS

Tories face election disaster in ‘Sea Wall’: Poll finds Rishi Sunak’s party is down 19 POINTS since the last election in English and Welsh coastal towns they have won for decades

  • Analysis of 108 coastal seats found vote share down from 51% in 2019 to 32%
  • The poll by YouGov found that Labour now has a lead of six points at the seaside
  • The reversal could provide key pointer for Tory chances at next election 
  • Compared to average seat Sea Wall contain more older and home-owning voters

The are facing trouble hanging onto the Red Wall of ex-Labour heartland seats in the North and Midlands, and the Blue Wall of supposedly safe seats in the South is threatening to vote Lib Dem.

And now the Conservatives are facing a backlash in another former bastion: The sea wall. 

A new poll suggests Rishi Sunak’s fractured party has seen a hemorrhaging of its vote in coastal seats in England and Wales they won comfortably at the last election. 

A new analysis of 108 waterside seats finds their vote share has fallen from 51 per cent in 2019 to just 32 per cent now. 

The poll by YouGov for the Fabian Society found that Labour now has a lead of six points, having risen from 29 per cent of the vote under Jeremy Corbyn to 38 per cent now. 

A new poll suggests Rishi Sunak’s fractured party has seen a hemorrhaging of its vote in coastal seats in England and Wales they won comfortably at the last election.

A new analysis of 108 waterside seats finds their vote share has fallen from 51 per cent in 2019 to just 32 per cent now.

They were seen as out of touch in many areas, with 55 per cent of the 3,333 people polled saying the Tories did not understand people in their area.

In 2019 Labour took just 24 of the 108 seats analysed, with the Tories increasingly their vote share at every election since 2005.

The reversal could provide a key pointer for Conservative chances at the next election: compared to the average on England and Wales, Sea Wall seats contain more older voters, more homeowners and fewer people with a degree education. 

But they were seen as out of touch in many areas, with 55 per cent of the 3,333 people polled saying the Tories did not understand people in their area.

In a report for the left-wing Fabian Society, Ben Cooper wrote that Labour should target up to 30 Coastal Wall seats on top of the 24 they currently hold.

‘To secure a majority at the next election, Labour will have to pick up votes and seats right across the country. The Sea Wall will be an integral part of this project,’ he said.

‘The party is currently beating the Conservatives in coastal town constituencies, and the Conservatives are seen as out of touch. 

‘But Labour has not yet ”sealed the deal”: many in the Sea Wall have yet to be fully convinced by the party.’

Sir Keir Starmer’s party has a  14-point lead among voters aged under 55 and a seven-point lead amongst over-55s

They are also ahead seven points ahead with more affluent voters, on top of a 17-point lead among the less well-off. They are also seven points ahead with homeowners.

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